What Moved The Markets This Week ๐
Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady, Payrolls Surge 353K, Amazon Scraps iRobot Acquisition, FanDuel Goes Public Under $FLUT, and AMZN + AAPL + MSFT + META Earnings
Sunday Morning Markets
Trading Week 5, covering Monday, Jan 29 through Friday, Feb 2. Your weekly financial markets update, in less than 5 minutes.
The Week In Review โช
Labor Market Data:
Nonfarm Payrolls +353K (est. 185K) ๐ฅ
Job Openings 9.03M (est. 8.75M) ๐ฅ
Unemployment Rate 3.7% (est. 3.8%) ๐ฅ
Avg. Hourly Earnings +4.5% (est. 4.1%) ๐ฅ
Layoffs from UPS, PayPal, Block and Okta
Fed & BoE both hold interest rates steady
Amazon scraps acquisition of iRobot
Muskโs $56 billion compensation package voided
FanDuel-parent goes public under ticker FLUT
Spotify re-signs Joe Rogan to $250 million deal
Earnings from Microsoft, Amazon, Apple and Meta
US Markets ๐บ๐ธ
Fed holds interest rates steady again and signals that a March rate cut is unlikely as inflation remains above target. According to CMEโs FedWatch tool, the market still expects roughly six rate cuts by the end of 2024.
Job openings unexpectedly rise to a three-month high of 9.03 million, well above the consensus estimate of 8.75 million. At the same time, voluntary quits fell to 3.4 million, the lowest level in nearly three years.
Nonfarm payrolls surged 353,000 in January, much stronger than expected (185,000). Average hourly earnings increased 0.6%, double the monthly estimate, as the labor market remains hot despite corporate layoffs.
Amazon terminates its acquisition of iRobot and says there was โno pathโ to regulatory approval. Following the news, iRobotโs CEO stepped down and the company laid off 35% of staff, causing its shares to plummet over 20%.
Musk aims to incorporate Tesla in the state of Texas rather than Delaware after a judge voided his $56 billion compensation package that was granted to him in 2018. Musk can appeal the decision to the Delaware Supreme Court.
Walmart plans to build 150 new large-format stores across the U.S. over the next five years. The company already has more than 4,600 stores across the country, and nearly 600 Samโs Club warehouses.
UPS to cut 12,000 jobs as package volume slips both internationally and domestically. The company expects to save about $1 billion from the workforce reduction and sees revenue growing a modest 2.5% this year.
PayPal to reduce its workforce by 9% as part of a larger turnaround plan. โWe are doing this to right-size our business, allowing us to move with the speed needed to deliver for our customers and drive profitable growth,โ the CEO said.
Global Markets ๐
IMF raises its global growth forecast to 3.1%, citing the unexpected strength of the U.S. economy and fiscal support measures in China. The IMF did note elevated risks to commodities and supply chains from Middle East volatility.
Eurozone narrowly avoided a recession in Q4 as growth in Italy and Spain offset the weakness in Germany. GDP in the EU stagnated as elevated interest rates and flimsy foreign demand continued to weigh.
Eurozone inflation eases to 2.8% in January, in line with estimates and down slightly from Decemberโs reading of 2.9%. Core inflation dipped to 3.3% but came in hotter than expected.
Bank of England holds rates at 5.25% and signals that cuts are likely later this year. โWe need to see more evidence that inflation is set to fall all the way to the 2% target, and stay there, before we can lower interest rates.โ
Chinaโs manufacturing activity shrank again for the fourth straight month in January as the official manufacturing PMI rose slightly to 49.2. Chinaโs services economy showed growth with the non-manufacturing PMI rising to 50.7.
EU agrees to a โฌ50 billion aid package for Ukraine and says that funds from Budapest would be excluded from the deal. Ukraineโs army chief, Valeriy Zaluzhnyi, is expected to be dismissed from his post in the coming days.
Hungary accuses EU of blackmail over Ukraine aid after a leaked document reportedly suggested that the bloc plans to sabotage Budapestโs economy if it vetoes the fresh 50 billion Euros of aid for Ukraine.
U.S. launches series of airstrikes in Syria and Iraq, hitting more than 85 targets and escalating the conflict with Iran. The U.S. aims to deter further attacks after American troops were killed in a drone strike in Jordan.
Tech โก
FanDuel parent goes public under ticker FLUT, offering investors an alternative to the sports betting giant, DraftKings. FanDuel is the largest online sportsbook in the U.S. with a 51% market share.
Instagram Threads triples downloads in December after growth stalled last year. During the month, Threads earned the No. 4 spot in the App Store with 12 million downloads, and the No. 8 spot in Google Play with 16 million downloads.
First human to receive Neuralink brain implant is 'recovering well,' Elon Musk says. Neuralink's brain-computer interface, or BCI,ย would allow people to control a computer or mobile device wirelessly just by thinking about it.
Joe Rogan gets new Spotify deal worth $250 million with an upfront guarantee and a revenue-sharing agreement. The new deal will allow his hit show to be distributed broadly, rather than exclusively on Spotify.
FTX expects to fully repay all customers but ends its plans to restart a new crypto exchange. FTX's native token, FTT, plummeted over 30% following the news of the companyโs plans.
Meta to deploy in-house custom chips this year aimed at supporting its AI push. The chip will help to reduce their dependence on Nvidia. Meta plans to put the updated chip into production in 2024.
SpaceX signs major deal with Starlab for 2028 launch as NASA prepares to retire the International Space Station in 2030. Starlabโs space station is being built by Voyager Space and Airbus in a joint venture.
Earnings Reports ๐ฐ
See Google and other breakdowns on our Twitter page.
Weekly Poll ๐ณ๏ธ
Week Ahead ๐
Monday
US - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (JAN)๐บ๐ธ
US - S&P Services PMI (JAN)๐บ๐ธ
EU - HCOB Composite PMI (JAN)๐ช๐บ
AU - RBA Interest Rate Decision๐ฆ๐บ
Earnings Reports: McDonaldโs, Caterpillar, Palantir, On Semi, Estee Lauder๐ฐ
Tuesday
CA - Ivey PMI (JAN)๐จ๐ฆ
Earnings Reports: Eli Lilly, Toyota, Amgen, Fiserv, Chipotle, Ford, Spotify, Snap, Enphase, Fortinet๐ฐ
Wednesday
US - Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1)๐บ๐ธ
US - Consumer Credit (DEC)๐บ๐ธ
US - Trade Balance (DEC)๐บ๐ธ
CN - CPI Inflation (JAN)๐จ๐ณ
CN - PPI Inflation (JAN)๐จ๐ณ
Earnings Reports: Alibaba, Disney, Uber, Arm, PayPal, Confluent๐ฐ
Thursday
US - Jobless Claims๐บ๐ธ
EU - ECB Economic Bulletin๐ช๐บ
Earnings Reports: Cloudflare, Affirm, Pinterest, Bill, Expedia๐ฐ
Friday
CA - Unemployment (JAN)๐จ๐ฆ
DE - CPI Inflation (JAN)๐ฉ๐ช
Earnings Reports: Pepsi๐ฐ
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